Benfica Castelo Branco vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
BEN
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 1
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 0
MAR
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 5
ADN
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 0
OLE
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
ADN
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
6 - 1
ADN
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |