Sport Belem vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Belem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
RIO
2 - 0
SBE
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
FER
3 - 1
SBE
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
SBE
1 - 0
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ARN
1 - 0
SBE
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
SBE
1 - 2
TRE
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1986 |
RIV
0 - 4
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
TRE
2 - 0
RIV
59%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 2
MOT
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
RIO
0 - 0
RIV
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |