Arronches e Benfica vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
14º
12º
40
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 0
SAB
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
SAB
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
PER
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 1
SAB
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
BEN
35%
28%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 3
UDA
53%
24%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
45%
29%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |