Arronches e Benfica vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
14º
12º
48
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 1
SAB
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
COR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAB
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SIN
18%
25%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
SAB
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
PER
52%
26%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |