Arronches e Benfica vs Pêro Pinheiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
14º
12º
48
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 1
SAB
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
COR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAB
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 1
SIN
18%
25%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
SAB
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
PER
52%
26%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |