Arronches e Benfica vs Mosteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 0
SAB
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAB
3 - 3
VAS
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mosteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 3
ELE
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 2
FAM
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOS
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 6
NAC
4%
10%
86%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IDE
0 - 2
MOS
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +2 |