Arronches e Benfica vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
14º
12º
11
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 1
UDR
39%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 1
SAB
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
46%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SAB
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAB
2 - 1
1DE
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALC
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
PER
16%
21%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
COR
4 - 0
ALC
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
SIN
10%
18%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |