Champions League 1/16
Global 5-12
Spora Luxembourg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spora Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1956 |
BVB
4 - 3
SPO
54%
19%
27%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1956 |
KOL
3 - 4
BVB
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
BVB
3 - 2
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1956 |
SVS
1 - 1
BVB
54%
21%
24%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1956 |
BVB
4 - 3
SPO
54%
19%
27%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
SVS
0 - 2
BVB
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |