Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Spora Luxembourg vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
48.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spora Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
B19
9 - 2
SPO
46%
21%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
0 - 6
B19
73%
14%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
BVB
7 - 0
SPO
56%
19%
25%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1956 |
SPO
2 - 1
BVB
65%
17%
19%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
BAS
2 - 0
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1963 |
BAS
1 - 5
CEL
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
BYM
3 - 0
BAS
32%
21%
47%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1962 |
BAS
0 - 3
BYM
76%
13%
12%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |