Spokane Velocity vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
59.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1969%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
10º
7º
17
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spokane Velocity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 3
FMA
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
LVG
2 - 1
SPV
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 2
SPV
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 0
LAF
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 1
LSC
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 2
SPV
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
LSC
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 3
GTR
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OKS
2 - 0
LSC
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |