Split vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
JAD
4 - 2
SPL
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
OTO
3 - 1
SPL
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SPL
3 - 4
HRV
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NER
1 - 1
SPL
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPL
3 - 2
UBV
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MAK
1 - 0
OTO
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
3 - 0
MAK
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAK
2 - 0
NER
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
UBV
1 - 0
MAK
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAK
3 - 1
GOS
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |