Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 0
SPL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SPL
0 - 3
HKS
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
IST
1 - 1
SPL
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SPL
2 - 1
SLA
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ZAD
2 - 2
SPL
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZAD
1 - 2
RIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ZAD
3 - 1
OSI
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 0
ZAD
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ZAD
1 - 5
HKS
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ZAD
2 - 2
SPL
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |