Split vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
INT
0 - 2
SPL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
HNS
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OSI
1 - 0
SPL
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SPL
2 - 0
IST
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 0
SPL
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
HDR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
INT
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HNS
2 - 0
ZAD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 1
OSI
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
IST
1 - 0
ZAD
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |