Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
SPL
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SPL
4 - 1
ZAG
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SPL
0 - 0
OSI
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 2
SPL
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
SPL
3 - 2
ZAG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HNK
0 - 1
RIJ
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SLA
0 - 2
HNK
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HNK
0 - 2
HKS
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HNK
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HNK
2 - 0
OSI
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |