Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 2
SPL
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SPL
0 - 1
KAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NKV
0 - 0
SPL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SPL
2 - 3
RIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPL
0 - 1
DZG
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZAD
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
INT
2 - 1
HNK
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HNK
3 - 1
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
HNK
2 - 0
IST
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
OSI
1 - 0
HNK
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |