Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Split vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SPL
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DZG
1 - 1
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SPL
1 - 0
HDR
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SPL
3 - 2
ZAD
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
INT
0 - 2
SPL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 2
DOM
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 2
SPL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
DOM
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
DOM
4 - 3
MAR
48%
23%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |