Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 2-0
Split vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 1
IST
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
HBS
0 - 0
SPL
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
ZAD
1 - 2
SPL
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 1
HBS
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
MIK
1 - 1
SPL
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 0
OLI
66%
22%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
KPT
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HOV
1 - 1
CHO
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
DYN
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |