Spittal vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
3º
58
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
2 - 2
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KLA
2 - 4
SPI
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SPI
3 - 2
BLE
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DON
2 - 1
SPI
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 3
SCL
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
KLA
75%
14%
10%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BLE
1 - 1
TRE
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
DON
87%
8%
4%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCL
1 - 2
TRE
19%
19%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 3
SVK
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |