Spittal vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
LAS
4 - 0
SPI
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
SPI
2 - 0
SSW
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
FAV
3 - 0
SPI
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
SPI
1 - 0
RAP
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1984 |
RBS
1 - 1
SPI
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
STR
1 - 1
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
EIS
5 - 2
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
LAS
1 - 0
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
STR
2 - 1
SSW
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
FAV
0 - 2
STR
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |