Spittal vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 1
SPI
18%
18%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 1
SPI
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 1
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
KUH
0 - 0
SPI
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KMD
2 - 2
SPI
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MIC
0 - 1
LEN
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KUH
0 - 1
MIC
55%
21%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 1
KMD
18%
26%
56%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 0
MIC
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MSA
0 - 1
MIC
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |