Spittal vs Modling analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1996 |
SVL
0 - 1
SPI
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
SPI
0 - 2
STR
20%
23%
58%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
KUF
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
WAT
2 - 2
SPI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 0
SWB
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1996 |
MOD
3 - 1
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
VSE
4 - 1
MOD
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
MOD
3 - 3
VIE
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
VOR
4 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
MOD
0 - 0
SCA
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |