Spittal vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
12º
3º
47
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
AUK
1 - 1
SPI
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVJ
2 - 3
SPI
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
2 - 2
TRE
31%
22%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SPI
2 - 2
WOL
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
KLA
2 - 4
SPI
57%
20%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
FLC
4 - 0
SVG
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLC
3 - 1
KLA
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLC
1 - 0
BLE
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DON
2 - 0
FLC
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FLC
2 - 2
SCL
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |