Spittal vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
14º
2º
54
1º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KAC
0 - 0
SPI
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 4
AUK
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SVJ
5 - 5
SPI
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 2
FEL
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GMD
1 - 2
SPI
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
3 - 4
VOL
60%
20%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAC
0 - 2
FLC
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLC
1 - 1
AUK
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SVJ
0 - 2
FLC
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |