Spittal vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MSA
2 - 0
SPI
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
4 - 1
SPI
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SPI
0 - 1
VEI
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 2
SPI
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 2
WAC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 1
VEI
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 2
FLC
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FLC
4 - 1
WAC
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLC
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FLC
0 - 2
DRA
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |