Spittal vs Hermagor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WOL
0 - 0
SPI
48%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 0
RUD
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FLC
1 - 3
SPI
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
2 - 2
MSA
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
SPI
3 - 1
LEN
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
1 - 2
VEI
26%
22%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 1
FCH
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
4 - 1
WAC
46%
24%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 0
FCH
61%
21%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCH
3 - 3
DRA
23%
23%
55%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |