Spittal vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WAC
1 - 1
SPI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 1
VOL
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
SVV
3 - 1
SPI
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 2
VOL
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
SPI
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 3
VEI
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 1
LEN
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
EAC
3 - 1
BLE
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BLE
2 - 1
TRE
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
BLE
3 - 1
SCL
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |