Spittal vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spittal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SCL
2 - 2
SPI
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SPI
3 - 0
WAC
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 0
SPI
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 1
MSA
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 2
SPI
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BLE
1 - 2
VEI
42%
24%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 3
BLE
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 2
GRI
70%
17%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SVV
2 - 1
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 0
VOL
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |