Spirit FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 1
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 3
SYD
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
ADE
2 - 2
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
PAP
1 - 3
SFC
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
MEL
50%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SOU
0 - 1
SYD
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
0 - 0
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SOU
1 - 3
PER
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |