Spirit FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 2
CCO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2000 |
PAP
3 - 0
SFC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2000 |
SFC
1 - 0
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
MEL
1 - 1
SFC
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
SFC
0 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
3 - 0
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
EPR
0 - 0
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
SYD
0 - 3
SOU
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 0
SOU
26%
24%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |