Spirit FC vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SFC
0 - 1
PAP
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SYD
0 - 0
SFC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
PER
3 - 2
SFC
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
4 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
2 - 0
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
NZK
2 - 0
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
NZK
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
2 - 4
SYD
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
ADE
1 - 0
NZK
73%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
NZK
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |