Spirit FC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SFC
0 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SFC
1 - 1
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BRI
3 - 1
SFC
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ADE
1 - 0
SFC
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 1
MEL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MEL
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |