Spirit FC vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 0
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
SFC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1998 |
SFC
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
ADE
2 - 0
SFC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
ADE
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
6 - 1
GIF
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 1
MEL
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
GIF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 3
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |