Spirit FC vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SYD
2 - 3
SFC
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
3 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
SFC
2 - 1
PAP
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
PER
3 - 0
SFC
64%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 0
SYD
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 2
ADE
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 1
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
ADE
2 - 3
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 3
ADE
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |