Spielberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
HOL
7 - 2
SPI
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 3
OFF
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SIN
3 - 4
SPI
53%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
SPI
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 3
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
GRU
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
BIS
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
VFR
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |