Spielberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 2
SPI
64%
19%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SPI
5 - 1
CRA
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
2 - 0
STU
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 1
SPI
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
WEI
0 - 4
SPI
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 2
KEH
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
ILL
34%
24%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
HOF
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ASV
1 - 0
VIL
53%
22%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |