Spielberg vs Offenburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SIN
3 - 4
SPI
53%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
SPI
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 3
AST
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
0 - 3
NEC
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
SPI
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Offenburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
OFF
2 - 2
GRU
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 1
OFF
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
OFF
2 - 0
BIS
33%
25%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 1
OFF
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 2
OFF
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |