Spielberg vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SPI
0 - 0
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
SPI
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SPI
2 - 2
PFO
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 3
SPI
16%
17%
67%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 1
REU
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 0
BAL
43%
23%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PFO
4 - 2
OBE
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OBE
3 - 1
NEC
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
REU
2 - 0
OBE
53%
20%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 3
FRE
21%
22%
58%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |