Spielberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
KSC
1 - 0
SPI
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SPI
1 - 1
HOL
38%
24%
37%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 3
SPI
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SPI
5 - 1
OBE
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 1
SPI
61%
20%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 2
AST
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 2
NOT
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
KSC
0 - 2
NOT
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
HOL
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
NOT
21%
23%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |