Spielberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 2
SPI
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
SHG
4 - 3
SPI
30%
26%
45%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 1
KEH
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
NOT
4 - 2
STU
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AUI
1 - 4
NOT
17%
23%
61%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
NOT
2 - 2
AST
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |