Spielberg vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 3
SPI
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SPI
1 - 1
VFR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPI
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPI
0 - 3
NOT
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KEH
3 - 1
SPI
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 3
BAL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ULM
4 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
NEC
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OFF
1 - 2
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 1
NOR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |