Spielberg vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
STU
2 - 0
SPI
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
REU
2 - 0
SPI
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 0
RAV
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
KEH
0 - 2
SPI
58%
23%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 5
BRU
76%
15%
10%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
BRU
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 0
AST
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +5 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
5 - 0
FRE
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
KSC
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
FRE
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |