Spielberg vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
HOF
5 - 2
SPI
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 3
ASV
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
STU
0 - 5
SPI
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
WEI
36%
24%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
SPI
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 0
KEH
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 1
BON
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
HOF
6 - 3
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 2
ASV
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STU
1 - 5
DEN
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |