Spielberg vs Crailsheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
2 - 0
STU
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 1
SPI
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
WEI
0 - 4
SPI
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BON
6 - 1
SPI
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 4
KEH
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
KEH
28%
25%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEN
2 - 0
CRA
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 0
CRA
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 2
HOF
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FRE
22%
25%
54%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |