Spielberg vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
STU
0 - 5
SPI
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
WEI
36%
24%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
SPI
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
2 - 3
NOT
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ILL
3 - 2
SPI
73%
17%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 4
KEH
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 2
ASV
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 3
HOF
22%
24%
55%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
4 - 2
BON
54%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
STU
2 - 0
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |