SPG Sprutz / Serfaus vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
50.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
9º
48
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
2 - 3
SPG
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
VOL
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 0
SPG
75%
17%
7%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
UNI
36%
21%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
4 - 0
SVI
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 1
IAC
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 3
KEM
13%
16%
71%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 3
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 0
KEM
77%
16%
7%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCM
0 - 3
KEM
44%
21%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |