SPG Sprutz / Serfaus vs Natters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
9º
32
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPG Sprutz / Serfaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
STJ
2 - 3
SPG
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPG
2 - 2
FCV
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 4
SPG
9%
15%
77%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 2
SPG
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
EBB
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 3
SCM
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
6 - 0
FCK
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 1
KUN
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 2
SPG
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 3
FCK
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |