Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
12º
6º
28
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 2
SPE
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
CRO
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SPE
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
CCS
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 0
PER
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TER
1 - 0
REG
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
IMC
2 - 0
TER
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TER
4 - 0
MNP
22%
20%
58%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PES
2 - 1
TER
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LAZ
4 - 1
TER
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |