Spezia U19 vs Pescara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
12º
6º
40
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
REG
2 - 2
SPE
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 3
VIR
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
4 - 0
SPE
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 1
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 3
USV
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
CRO
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PES
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 1
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PES
2 - 1
CCS
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PES
2 - 1
MNP
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |