Spezia Sub 19 vs Novara Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
SPA
42%
23%
36%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
SPE
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 1
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CES
2 - 1
SPE
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novara Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
NOV
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 1
PRO
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOV
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 3
VEN
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 2
NOV
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |