Spezia U19 vs Novara U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FIO
6 - 2
SPE
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 4
SPA
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPE
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAM
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
NOV
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAL
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRA
84%
10%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
NOV
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 3
FIO
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |