Spezia U19 vs Livorno U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIE
2 - 0
SPE
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 3
EMP
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 1
SPE
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 0
GRO
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 1
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
NOV
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 2
EMP
41%
27%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
LIV
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |